Aww noo! la nina back in place for this year. how confusing.
sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2009/108/1
Edited by gerda - Fri, 09 Jan 2009 14:22:16 GMT
Be a part of the community.
It's free, join today!
Aww noo! la nina back in place for this year. how confusing.
sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2009/108/1
Hmm I wonder if that will impact the Met Office's 2009 prediction. It all depends on how strong the La Nina is and how long it lasts.
Of course September-November 2008 was the 3rd warmest Sept-Nov on record during a period where the La Nina subsided, so we can use that fact if anybody starts making an issue of a few cool months.
looks like they were basing it on a 'weaker la nina'.
www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2008/pr20081230.html
My guess is that this will still be the case, because the 2008 La Nina was quite strong. Although your sciencenow link has a graph which makes it look like the current La Nina is approaching last year's in strength.
Download the photo then use the Huddler image insert/upload tool (near the top left of the message window) to upload and insert it like so:

This by the way is a chart of El Nino (positive, orange) and La Nina (negative, blue) strength over the past year from NOAA.