Quote:Originally Posted by
dana1981
Well I have to disagree with you here. You're talking about a future which is likely decades away when fuel cells are cheap and electrolysis is the prefered option, but then talking about today's battery technology. That's not a fair comparison.
When I meant "the future", I was thinking about circa 10 years. It takes 10 years to build a nuclear power plant. It's projected in Europe that 20% of electricity demand will be met by renewables by 2020 (ok that's 11 years). If Honda are aiming to lease to the public 100-200 of the FCX fuel cell cars at $600 a month this year (2009) then I'd expect them to be in mass production at the same price or less within 10 years. If a government mandates it, the construction of a hydrogen re-fueling network on the major highways will take less than 10 years to complete as existing sites can be used and planning permission given to encourage it. Supermarkets often build their own petrol station on the same site to bring in the shoppers. If planners tell them "you can build your supermarket and gas station only if you include a hydrogen pump" then you'll soon get some stations. This is true of old petrol stations too. At the moment supermarkets are locked in a battle to buy the independent stations up and convert them to mini-marts, so there's scope there too.
Perhaps where I'd see the rapid charge EV gaining practical traction is in electric bikes. The power requirements (total) are much lower for bikes to achieve the range, speed and load capacity that people expect (pizza delivery) and you might be able to keep the 3 minute recharge at a station down to something that the grid and the handler of the "refueling" cable can safely manage.
The problem of speed of bulk electrical delivery is not one that is going to be solved easily. The best way to deliver very large bulk energy in a short time with relative user safety is a chemical store (hydrogen, petrol, diesel, butane). Each has huge stored energy that can be transported and delivered quickly and safely to and at a re-fueling station. The grid is a streaming power source. Electricity flow is good for sustained (relatively) low rate energy delivery. By it's nature, it is not easy to store in bulk or move in bulk quickly. In it's raw state (charge) it is dangerous to handle and store (we are conductors, air is a conductor, a vacuum is a conductor for the 25kV electron beam of a TV). I'd use the example of a stick of dynamite. Dynamite is a chemical store of huge potential energy release in a very short time but is relatively safe to handle and move. The same electrical energy delivery potential in a portable form would be lightning in a bottle.
I did overlook one way that the bulk of electrical charge could be safely delivered to the ultra-fast charge battery... room temperature superconductors. This gets around the problem of having to use very high voltages in the refueling cable. With a superconducting cable, you can deliver unlimited Amps with no heating or loss and so you can do it at a low and safe voltage for users to handle the cable. However, practical, flexible, room temperature superconductors are still a science fiction and while the hydrogen infrastructure would be costly and time consuming to build, at least it is based on technology that exists and can be deployed now.
There's no doubt that the ultra-fast charge battery will revolutionise our lives. I just think it will be in laptops rather than EVs.